Original Articles Open access

Use of machine learning tools to estimate drying rate of apple and apricot wood discs

Authors

Published
4 September 2025
Section
Original Articles

Abstract

This study compares three machine learning (ML) models -artificial neural networks (ANN), recurrent neural networks (RNN), and extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost)- for predicting the drying kinetics of wood biomass from the clearing of outdated apple and apricot orchards. The primary goal was to optimize and evaluate the performance of these models in predicting drying time and moisture content of the wood, which is crucial for improving energy efficiency in the drying process. Experiments were conducted under four temperature regimes (40°C, 50°C, 60°C, and 70°C) to simulate low- and high-temperature drying conditions. The models were trained and evaluated using statistical quality metrics such as root mean squared error (RMSE), mean absolute error MAE, and R². Results showed that all models performed with high accuracy, but XGBoost demonstrated the best statistical performance, exhibiting the lowest MAE and RMSE values. The RNN model exhibited the highest R² values and performed well in terms of MAE and RMSE, whereas the ANN model yielded slightly lower results. Despite small differences in performance, the models showed strong predictive capabilities and can be effectively used for modeling the drying process of moist wood biomass. This research emphasizes the significance of model optimization in enhancing the accuracy of drying time predictions and minimizing energy consumption in drying processes.

References

  1. Aghbashlo, M., Hosseinpour, S., Mujumdar, A.S. 2015. Application of artificial neural networks (ANNs) in drying technology: a comprehensive review. Dry Technol. 33:1397–1462. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/07373937.2015.1036288
  2. Alsheikh, M. A., Niyato, D., Lin, S., Tan, H. P., Han, Z. 2016. Mobile big data analytics using deep learning and apache spark. IEEE Network 30:22-29. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1109/MNET.2016.7474340
  3. Arel, I., Rose, D.C., Karnowski, T.P. 2010. Deep machine learning - A new frontier in artificial intelligence research [Research Frontier]. IEEE Comput. Intell. Mag. 5:13-18. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1109/MCI.2010.938364
  4. Bovornset, S., Wongwise, S. 2007. Drying parawood with superheated steam. Am. J. Appl. Sci. 4:215– 219. DOI: https://doi.org/10.3844/ajassp.2007.215.219
  5. Derčan, B., Lukić, T., Bubalo-Živković M., Durev, B., Stojsavljević, R., Pantelić, M. 2012. Possibility of efficient utilization of wood waste as a renewable energy resource in Serbia. Renew. Sustain. Energy Rev. 16:1516e1527. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2011.10.017
  6. Doymaz, I. 2012. Evaluation of some thin-layer drying models of persimmon slices (Diospyros kaki L.). Energy Convers. Manag. 56:199–205. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enconman.2011.11.027
  7. Elustondo, D., Matan, N., Langrish, T., Pang, S. 2023. Advances in wood drying research and development. Dry Technol. 41:890–914. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/07373937.2023.2205530
  8. Espinoza, O., Bond, B. 2016. Vacuum drying of wood— State of the art. Curr. For. Rep. 2:223–235. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s40725-016-0045-9
  9. Eurostat. 2024. Energy consumption in households. Available from: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/statistics-explained/SEPDF/cache/58200.pdf
  10. Günaydına, S., Ropelewska, E., Sacilik, K., Çetin, N. 2014. Exploration of machine learning models based on the image texture of dried carrot slies for classification. J. Food Eng. 143:167–177.
  11. Ghaderi, A., Abbasi, S., Motevali, A., Minaei, S. 2012. Comparison of mathematical models and artificial neural networks for prediction of drying kinetics of mushroom in microwave vacuum dryer. Chem. Ind. Chem. Eng. Q. 18:283–293. DOI: https://doi.org/10.2298/CICEQ110823005G
  12. Haykin, S. 1999.Neural networks a comprehensive introduction. Upper Saddle River, Prentice Hall.
  13. IEA 2008. Energy in the Western Balkans. Paris, IEA. Available from: https://www.iea.org/reports/energy-in-the-western-balkans
  14. Ilic, M., Grubor, B., Tesic, M. 2004. The state of biomass energy in Serbia. Therm Sci. 8. 5-20. DOI: https://doi.org/10.2298/TSCI0402005I
  15. IRENA. 2019. Global energy transformation: A roadmap to 2050 (2019 edition). Abu Dhabi, International Renewable Energy Agency.
  16. Ji, W. 2024. Apple recognition and picking sequence planning for harvesting robot in a complex environment. J. Agric. Eng. 55:1549. DOI: https://doi.org/10.4081/jae.2024.1549
  17. Keskes, S., Hanini, S., Hentabli, M., Laidi, M. 2020. Artificial intelligence and mathematical modelling of the drying kinetics of pharmaceutical powder. Kem. Ind. 69:137–152. DOI: https://doi.org/10.15255/KUI.2019.038
  18. Kırbaşa, I., Doğuş, Tuncerb A., Şirinb, C., Usta, H. 2019. Modeling and developing a smart interface for various drying methods of pomelo fruit (Citrus maxima) peel using machine learning approaches. Comput. Electron. Agr. 165:104928. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.compag.2019.104928
  19. Khan, M.I.H., Sablani, S.S., Joardder, M.U.H., Karim, M.A. 2022. Application of machine learning-based approach in food drying: opportunities and challenges. Dry Technol. 40:1051–1067. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/07373937.2020.1853152
  20. Lerman, P., Scheepers, G. 2023. Determination of a mass-transfer coefficient for wood drying by means of thermography. Wood Mater. Sci. Eng. 18:2104-2111. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/17480272.2023.2243473
  21. Li, X., Ma, L., Chen, P., Xu, H., Xing, Q., Yan, J, et al. 2022. Probabilistic solar irradiance forecasting based on XGBoost. Energy Rep. 8:1087-1095. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.egyr.2022.02.251
  22. Martynenko, A. 2018. Artificial intelligence: is it a good fit for drying? Dry Technol. 36:891–892. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/07373937.2017.1362153
  23. Milanović, M., Komatina, M., Janković, B., et al. 2022. The kinetic study of juice industry residues drying process based on TGA-DTG experimental data. J. Therm. Anal. Calorim. 147:10109–10129. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10973-022-11289-5
  24. Morales-Reyes, J.L. 2023. Anthocyanins estimation in homogeneous bean landrace Phaseolus vulgaris L.) using probabilistic representation and convolution neural networks. J. Agric. Eng. 54:1421. DOI: https://doi.org/10.4081/jae.2023.1421
  25. Perić, M., Antonijević, D., Komatina, M., Bugarski, B., Rakin, M. 2020. Life cycle assessment of wood chips supply chain in Serbia. Renew. Energy. 155: 1302-1311. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.renene.2020.04.026
  26. Rajković, A., Jovanović, D., Milanović, M., Ećim-Đurić, O. 2023. Investigation of convective drying characteristics and specific energy consumption of apricot and apple tree discs. Proc. 6th Int. Symp. on Agricultural Engineering., pp. 219-24.
  27. Ropelewska, E., Çetinb, N., Günaydınc, S. 2023. Non-destructive discrimination of vacuum-dried banana using image processing operation and machine learning approach. Food Bioprod. Process. 141:36-48. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.fbp.2023.07.001
  28. Ryan, K., Agrawal, P., Franklin, S. 2020. The pattern theory of self in artificial general intelligence: A theoretical framework for modeling self in biologically inspired cognitive architectures. Cogn. Syst. Res. 62:44–56. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cogsys.2019.09.018
  29. Sagi, O., Rokach, L. 2021. Approximating XGBoost with an interpretable decision tree. Inf. Sci. 572:522–542. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ins.2021.05.055
  30. Salazar, M.A.G., Morini, M., Pinelli, M., Spina, P.R., Venturini, M., Finkenrath, M., Poganietz, W.R. 2014. Methodology for estimating biomass energy potential and its application to Colombia. Appl. Energy. 136:781-796. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2014.07.004
  31. Samsonovich, A.V. 2020. Socially emotional brain-inspired cognitive architecture framework for artificial intelligence. Cognit. Syst. Res. 60:57-76. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cogsys.2019.12.002
  32. Shaozhi, Z., Yu, P., Dongpo, L., Youming, Z., Guangming, C., Heng, L.A. 2016. Thermophysical study on the freeze drying of wooden archaeological artifacts. J. Cult. Heritage. 17:95–101. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.culher.2015.07.003
  33. Simpson, W.T. 1983. Drying wood: a review – Part I. Dry Technol. 2:235-264. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/07373938308959827
  34. Statistical Office of the Republic of Serbia, 2024. Area and average number of apple and pear trees, by plantation age. Available from: https://data.stat.gov.rs/Home/Result/13050201?languageCode=en-US
  35. Strehler, A. 2000. Technologies of wood combustion. Ecol. Eng. 16:25e40. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/S0925-8574(00)00049-5
  36. Tian, K., Zeng, J., Song, T., Li, Z., Li, J. 2023. Tomato leaf diseases recognition based on deep convolutional neural networks. J. Agric. Eng. 54:1432. DOI: https://doi.org/10.4081/jae.2022.1432
  37. Xiao, H., Pang, C., Wang, L., Bai, J., Yang, W., Gao, Z. 2010. Drying kinetics and quality of Monukka seedless grapes dried in an air-impingement jet dryer. Biosyst. Eng. 105:233-240. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.biosystemseng.2009.11.001
  38. Yang, L., Liu, H. 2020. Effect of supercritical CO2 drying on moisture transfer and wood property of Eucalyptus urophydis. Forests 11:1115. DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/f11101115
  39. Zhang, Y., Wang, S., Ji, G., Phillips, P. 2014. Fruit classification using computer vision and feedforward neural network. J. Food Eng. 143:167-177. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfoodeng.2014.07.001
  40. Złotek, U., Dziki, U.G., Dziki, D., Swieca, M., Nowak, R., Martinez, E. 2019. Influence of drying temperature on phenolic acids composition and antioxidant activity of sprouts and leaves of white and red quinoa. J. Chem. 7125169. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1155/2019/7125169

Metrics

Citations and online attention from Dimensions, Altmetric and PlumX.